The Push for Social Security Cuts Ignores the Reality of the Program's Finances and Conditions of Near-Retirees

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
August 12, 2010
12:07 PM

CONTACT: CEPR
Alan Barber, (202) 293-5380 x115

The Push for Social Security Cuts Ignores the Reality of the Program's Finances and Conditions of Near-Retirees

WASHINGTON - August 12 - CEPR Co-Director Dean Baker issued the following statement on the 75th anniversary of Social Security:

"As we are celebrating Social Security's 75th anniversary, many of the most powerful political figures in Washington are making plans to reduce the benefits provided by the program. This drive reflects little understanding of either the program's financial health or the economic situation facing near-retirees.

"The new Social Security Trustees Report showed that the program can pay all benefits long into the future, with no changes whatsoever. If nothing were ever done, the program could pay full benefits until the year 2037, and could still pay 75 percent of scheduled benefits for many decades after this date.

"It would take relatively modest changes to extend the projected period of full funding long past 2037. For example, raising the wage cap to cover 90 percent of wage income, the original target set by the Greenspan commission, would cover 25 percent of the deficit projected over the program's 75-year planning horizon.

"Polls have also shown that most people would prefer to pay higher Social Security taxes rather than see a cut in Social Security benefits. A modest increase in the payroll tax, for example a 0.05 percentage point annual rise in both the employer and employee side of the payroll tax over the years 2021 to 2040, coupled with the increase in the cap, would be sufficient to fully fund the program through its 75-year planning horizon.

"The new Trustees Report projected considerably more rapid wage growth than the 2009 report. Based on the new projections and even with a 2 percentage point tax increase, workers in 2040 would have considerably higher after-tax wages  than would have been the case in 2009 projections without a tax increase. The new projections show that workers would earn an after tax wage in 2040 that is more than 40 percent higher than current wages if the payroll tax was increased 2 full percentage points.

"For some reason it has become fashionable to say that Social Security should not be considered apart from the rest of the budget. This is a break from 75 years of practice and effectively amounts to a lie to the country's workers, who have been told that they are paying a designated Social Security tax. The reason for the designated tax is precisely because the finances of the program always were considered apart from the rest of the budget. Ignoring current law and 75 years of past practice with regard to the Social Security program would be like arguing that interest on the government debt should not be considered apart from the rest of the budget. There are good reasons that both Social Security and interest payments on the national debt are not considered in the same way as other areas of government spending.

"The drive to cut Social Security benefits for near-retirees ignores the financial situation of these workers. The vast majority of near-retirees do not have traditional defined benefit pensions. Most accumulated little in 401(k) type accounts or personal savings even before the recession. Much of what they did accumulate, they lost in the stock market collapse of 2008-2009.

"For the vast majority of near-retirees, their major asset was the equity in their home. Much or all of this equity was destroyed with the collapse of the housing bubble. As a result, the huge cohort of baby boomers that is approaching retirement will be more dependent on Social Security than their predecessors. The median household in the age cohorts from 55 to 64 has just $170,000 in total wealth,
including equity in their home. Since this is roughly equal to the price of the median home, this means that they could fully pay off a mortgage and then would have nothing other than their Social Security to support them in retirement.

"The median household in the age cohorts from 45 to 54 has $80,000 in total wealth, roughly half of the value of the median home. With the labor market projected to be weak for most of the years they have remaining in the work force, it is unlikely that they will be able to accumulate substantial additional savings before they retire.

"Finally, the notion that workers should make up for lower benefits by working later into their lives ignores the actual job conditions faced by older workers. Almost half (45.3 percent) of older workers have either physically demanding jobs or have difficult work conditions. For workers with high school degrees, this number is almost 60 percent. More than three quarters of the workers without high school degrees either work at jobs that are either physically demanding or have dangerous work conditions.
 
"In short, proposals to cut Social Security in the near future effectively take away benefits for which workers have already paid through their taxes. This amounts to a second hit on this group of workers. The same people whose incompetent  management of the economy cost many of these workers their jobs and much of their life savings, are now trying to take away the Social Security benefits they will need to survive in retirement. These workers have every right to be furious at the people designing these policies."

###

The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) was established in 1999 to promote democratic debate on the most important economic and social issues that affect people's lives. In order for citizens to effectively exercise their voices in a democracy, they should be informed about the problems and choices that they face. CEPR is committed to presenting issues in an accurate and understandable manner, so that the public is better prepared to choose among the various policy options.


Illinois: 514,000 Elderly Lifted Out of Poverty by Social Sec.

Social Security Keeps 20 Million Americans Out of Poverty:
A State-By-State Analysis

PDF of this report (5pp.)

By Paul N. Van de Water and Arloc Sherman

August 11, 2010

Social Security benefits play a vital role in reducing poverty. Without Social Security, according to the latest available Census data (for 2008), 19.8 million more Americans would be poor. Although most of those kept out of poverty by Social Security are elderly, nearly a third are under age 65, including 1.1 million children. (See Table 1.) Depending on their design, reductions in Social Security benefits could significantly increase poverty, particularly among the elderly.

TABLE 1:
Effect of Social Security on Poverty, 2008
Age Group Percent in Poverty Number Lifted Out of Poverty by Social Security
Excluding
Social Security
Including
Social Security
Children Under 18 20.5 19.0 1,117,000
Adults Aged 18-64 14.5 11.7 5,281,000
Elderly Aged 65 and Over 45.2 9.7 13,410,000
Total, All Ages 19.8 13.2 19,808,000
Memorandum:
Women Aged 65 and Over 49.7 11.9 8,120,000
Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2009.

Social Security Lifts 13 Million Elderly Americans Out of Poverty

Almost 90 percent of people aged 65 and older receive some of their family income from Social Security. [1] Without Social Security benefits, 45.2 percent of elderly Americans would have incomes below the poverty line, all else being equal. With Social Security benefits, only 9.7 percent are poor. Some 13.2 million elderly Americans are lifted out of poverty by Social Security.

Social Security reduces elderly poverty dramatically in every state in the nation, as shown in Figure 1 and Table 2. Without Social Security, the poverty rate for those aged 65 and over would exceed 40 percent in 42 states. With Social Security, the elderly poverty rate in the large majority of states is less than 10 percent. Social Security lifts 1.1 million elderly people out of poverty in California and Florida, almost 900,000 in Texas, and 800,000 in New York.

Social Security Lifts More Than 1 Million Children Out of Poverty

Social Security is important for children and their families as well as for the elderly. About 6 million children under age 18 (8 percent of all U.S. children) lived in families that received income from Social Security in 2008, according to Census data. Over 3 million children received their own benefits as dependents of retired, disabled, or deceased workers. Others lived with parents or relatives who received Social Security benefits. In all, 1.1 million children are lifted out of poverty by Social Security.

Social Security records show that 3.2 million children under age 18 qualified for Social Security payments themselves in December 2009. (See Table 3.) Of these, 1.3 million were the survivor of a deceased worker. Another 1.6 million received payments because their parent had a severe disability. And 301,000 children under 18 received payments because their parent or, in some cases, grandparent was retired. [2]

Technical Note

This analysis uses the official definition of poverty used by the Census Bureau. In determining poverty status, the Census Bureau compares a family’s cash income before taxes with poverty thresholds that vary by the size and age of the family. The poverty thresholds in 2008 were $10,326 for an elderly individual, $13,014 for an elderly couple, and $22,025 for an average family of four. To calculate the anti-poverty effects of Social Security, we determined each family’s poverty status twice — first excluding and then including the family’s Social Security benefits.

Our analysis uses data from the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey (CPS), the survey that is used to produce official poverty estimates. [3] Each March the CPS collects information on personal income, health coverage, and other social and economic characteristics for the previous year. The national estimates reported here are for 2008. The state-by-state estimates are based on a three-year average (for 2006, 2007, and 2008) to improve the reliability of the results.

One critic of estimates such as these argues that they “do nothing to answer the question of what would have happened if Social Security had not existed.”[4] Indeed, this analysis does not take into account other changes that would occur in the absence of Social Security. If Social Security did not exist, most elderly individuals likely would have saved somewhat more and worked somewhat longer.

Other studies confirm, however, that Social Security has made a very large contribution to reducing poverty, and that cutting Social Security benefits could substantially increase poverty among the elderly.[5]

TABLE 2:
Effect of Social Security on Poverty Among the Elderly by State, 2006-2008
  Percent in Poverty Number Lifted Out of Poverty by Social Security
Excluding Social Security Including Social Security
Alabama 49.2 10.9 244,000
Alaska 28.9 5.3 11,000
Arizona 40.3 9.1 223,000
Arkansas 53.0 12.7 140,000
California 37.4 8.1 1,148,000
Colorado 37.1 9.9 132,000
Connecticut 40.8 6.9 153,000
Delaware 40.3 6.6 39,000
District of Columbia 37.4 15.6 14,000
Florida 46.4 10.3 1,070,000
Georgia 46.8 10.5 309,000
Hawaii 27.0 7.4 36,000
Idaho 43.9 7.6 69,000
Illinois 44.7 8.0 514,000
Indiana 49.8 9.1 313,000
Iowa 46.8 6.3 157,000
Kansas 44.5 7.0 128,000
Kentucky 55.0 11.9 229,000
Louisiana 56.7 13.1 241,000
Maine 47.9 8.8 78,000
Maryland 34.1 9.2 161,000
Massachusetts 41.9 9.8 275,000
Michigan 45.9 7.7 492,000
Minnesota 42.9 5.7 234,000
Mississippi 55.4 18.2 130,000
Missouri 47.5 6.8 314,000
Montana 56.0 8.1 62,000
Nebraska 43.6 6.5 77,000
Nevada 37.5 6.5 94,000
New Hampshire 41.5 6.0 57,000
New Jersey 40.2 9.1 343,000
New Mexico 44.3 12.7 77,000
New York 45.0 12.5 813,000
North Carolina 51.7 10.6 461,000
North Dakota 46.1 8.6 29,000
Ohio 46.7 8.0 556,000
Oklahoma 46.9 10.2 177,000
Oregon 47.1 7.9 188,000
Pennsylvania 47.7 8.7 717,000
Rhode Island 41.9 8.3 45,000
South Carolina 50.7 11.0 233,000
South Dakota 43.1 8.2 39,000
Tennessee 49.3 11.6 315,000
Texas 46.8 12.6 860,000
Utah 41.3 6.8 77,000
Vermont 47.8 10.7 30,000
Virginia 39.8 10.1 260,000
Washington 38.0 7.8 219,000
West Virginia 55.8 9.6 120,000
Wisconsin 49.5 8.8 276,000
Wyoming 45.9 8.8 25,000
Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2007-2009.
TABLE 3:
Social Security Beneficiaries by State and Age, December 2009
  Total Age 65 and Older Children Under Age 18
Alabama 983,341 603,628 77,421
Alaska 74,678 47,821 7,256
Arizona 1,028,442 730,645 60,002
Arkansas 620,040 386,480 48,425
California 4,835,164 3,488,517 275,719
Colorado 663,894 477,256 36,436
Connecticut 611,276 459,881 30,435
Delaware 167,530 116,913 9,564
District of Columbia 73,093 51,479 4,883
Florida 3,669,375 2,694,725 183,594
Georgia 1,412,978 916,186 103,659
Hawaii 220,491 166,593 11,396
Idaho 258,691 180,265 15,583
Illinois 1,993,199 1,433,411 114,201
Indiana 1,157,821 791,781 71,067
Iowa 574,315 427,910 25,476
Kansas 478,138 344,378 27,072
Kentucky 870,206 526,606 65,771
Louisiana 770,217 489,625 64,442
Maine 293,011 195,853 17,382
Maryland 826,497 598,985 49,498
Massachusetts 1,117,870 796,641 64,843
Michigan 1,905,342 1,283,186 115,516
Minnesota 857,805 629,056 40,494
Mississippi 583,515 349,830 52,689
Missouri 1,137,581 767,694 72,053
Montana 187,197 133,236 9,877
Nebraska 303,880 226,192 15,153
Nevada 390,553 277,638 22,894
New Hampshire 245,563 169,238 15,598
New Jersey 1,440,943 1,069,348 75,891
New Mexico 347,976 234,380 23,888
New York 3,214,780 2,273,704 183,947
North Carolina 1,698,677 1,123,672 105,219
North Dakota 118,493 90,175 5,008
Ohio 2,074,384 1,466,804 110,919
Oklahoma 688,545 463,341 45,713
Oregon 686,777 491,947 30,953
Pennsylvania 2,530,211 1,814,653 133,362
Rhode Island 200,202 141,141 10,982
South Carolina 889,876 578,014 58,268
South Dakota 150,432 113,148 6,956
Tennessee 1,212,968 787,049 82,232
Texas 3,320,462 2,259,018 77,421
Utah 312,029 221,174 7,256
Vermont 124,585 86,174 60,002
Virginia 1,246,366 863,903 48,425
Washington 1,049,039 745,854 275,719
West Virginia 436,445 270,612 36,436
Wisconsin 1,033,096 739,768 30,435
Wyoming 88,514 603,628 9,564
Totala 52,522,819 36,594,122 3,157,987
Source: Social Security Administration, Annual Statistical Supplement, 2010, Table 5.J5, and OASDI Beneficiaries by State and County, 2009. a Includes outlying areas and foreign countries (not shown).

End Notes:

[1] Kathy A. Ruffing and Paul N. Van de Water, Top Ten Facts About Social Security, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, forthcoming.

[2] Social Security Administration, Annual Statistical Supplement to the Social Security Bulletin, 2010, Table 5.J10.

[3] U.S. Census Bureau, Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2008, Series P60-236, September 2009.

[4] Charles P. Blahous III, Reforming Social Security for Ourselves and Our Posterity, Westport, CT: Praeger, 2000, p. 13.

[5] Eugene Smolensky, Sheldon Danizer, and Peter Gottschalk, “The Declining Significance of Age in the United States: Trends in the Well-Being of Children and the Elderly Since 1939,” in John L. Palmer, Timothy Smeeding, and Barbara Boyle Torrey, eds., The Vulnerable, Washington: Urban Institute, 1988; Gary V. Engelhardt and Jonathan Gruber, “Social Security and the Evolution of Elderly Poverty,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 10466, May 2004.

Copyright © 2008 - 2010 Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

Ignore the Fear-Mongering on Social Security

Today's Social Security critics use many of the same false arguments of those who tried to stop it 75 years ago. In fact, with only minor adjustments, the popular program will easily remain solvent.

by Peter Dreier and Donald Cohen

Alf Landon, the Kansas governor running as the Republican Party's 1936 presidential candidate, called it a "fraud on the working man." Silas Strawn, a former president of both the American Bar Assn. and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, said it was part of President Franklin D. Roosevelt's attempt to "Sovietize the country." The American Medical Assn. denounced it as a "compulsory socialistic tax."

What was this threat to American prosperity, freedom and democracy they were all decrying? It was Social Security, which Roosevelt signed into law on Aug. 14, 1935 - 75 years ago Saturday.

The opponents of Social Security were not right-wing extremists (the counterparts of today's "tea party") but the business establishment and the Republican Party mainstream.

In the early Depression years, more than half of America's elderly lived in poverty. But most business leaders and conservatives considered the very idea that government had a moral responsibility to help senior citizens retire with dignity to be outrageously radical, a dangerous trampling of individual liberty. They predicted that the Social Security tax would bankrupt the country.

As New York's former governor, Roosevelt knew that business groups had opposed the most important pieces of social legislation on that state's books, including the factory inspection law (passed as a result of the 1911 Triangle Shirt Waist factory fire that killed 146 women), the law limiting women's workweek to 54 hours, unemployment insurance, pensions for the elderly and public works projects to put people back to work.

Once elected president, FDR viewed Social Security as part of his broader New Deal effort to humanize capitalism. Born to privilege, he understood that many wealthy people considered him a traitor to his class. They were, he thought, greedy, unenlightened and on the wrong side of history.

FDR outmaneuvered Social Security's opponents, using his bully pulpit to explain why they were misguided.

"A few timid people, who fear progress, will try to give you new and strange names for what we are doing," he said in a June 1934 "fireside chat" on the radio. "Sometimes they will call it fascism, sometimes communism, sometimes regimentation, sometimes socialism. But in so doing, they are trying to make very complex and theoretical something that is really very simple and very practical.... I believe that what we are doing today is a necessary fulfillment of what Americans have always been doing - a fulfillment of old and tested American ideals."

Most Americans agreed. Running for reelection the next year, FDR beat Landon in a 60.8% to 36.6% landslide.

Today, Social Security insures families against the loss of income caused by retirement, disability or death. It provides more than $600 billion in benefits to 51 million people. It lifts more than 35 million older Americans out of poverty. One-third of Social Security's beneficiaries collect survivors or disability insurance, keeping millions of families with a disabled or deceased breadwinner from destitution.

Americans view Social Security as a central component of the nation's social contract. It is probably the most popular federal government program. Not surprisingly, when President George W. Bush tried to privatize Social Security - essentially asking Americans to put the security of their future in the stock market - the people considered it a preposterous idea, especially after they had watched thousands of Enron investors lose their savings and saw the stock market lose 38% of its value between January 2000 and October 2002.

Today, 77% of Americans - even 68% of Republicans - believe that policymakers in Washington should "leave Social Security alone" and find other ways to reduce the deficit, according to a national poll in June by the University of New Hampshire. In fact, 75% of tea party supporters favor Social Security and Medicare, a New York Times/CBS News poll found in April.

There are still a handful of Americans who bash Social Security. They dress up their arguments in different clothing, but their views haven't changed much from those of their counterparts 75 years ago. We can't afford Social Security, they say. It's going bankrupt. It will destroy our economy and our society.

America, one of the world's wealthiest nations, can afford to provide an economic cushion for the elderly and the disabled. By making some minor adjustments, Social Security will remain vital and solvent for this and future generations. Economists say that raising the income ceiling on the payroll tax, applying the Social Security tax to nonwage income or adding a modest increase to the payroll tax could add decades to the health of the Social Security trust fund.

In retrospect, it is obvious that Social Security's Depression-era opponents engaged in fear-mongering, not economic reality. Their opposition was based on a free-market fundamentalist ideology that abhorred any attempt to use government to improve Americans' living conditions.

Just as the early battle over Social Security wasn't really about old-age insurance, current fights over public policy are really placeholders for broader concerns. They are about what kind of country we want to be and what values we consider most important. Today, business groups and right-wing zealots oppose healthcare reform, tougher financial regulations, stronger workplace safety laws, policies to limit climate change, higher taxes on the rich and extension of unemployment insurance to the long-term jobless. The issues vary, but the mantra is the same: This policy will kill jobs, undermine the entrepreneurial spirit and destroy freedom.

The White House and progressive activists should aggressively challenge assertions about the disasters that will befall us if government protects consumers, workers, seniors, children, the disabled and the environment. Throughout our history, progress has been made when activists and politicians proposed bold ideas and then won a series of steppingstone reforms that redefined the social contract.

 

Peter Dreier teaches politics and chairs the Urban & Environmental Policy program at Occidental College. Donald Cohen is the co-founder and president of the Center on Policy Initiatives, a San Diego-based think tank.

Nothing Wrong w/ Social Security that Taxing the Rich Can't Solv

There’s Nothing Wrong with Social Security that Taxing the Rich Fairly Wouldn’t Fix

by Dave Lindorff

New York Times columnist and economist Paul Krugman, in his column today, is right to expose the attacks on Social Security as being the work of right-wing ideologues eager to destroy a government program that works, backed by cowardly Democrats who want to show their fiscal "responsibility" by getting tough with future pensioners.

But he doesn't go the extra step to point out that this program, founded 75 years ago as a cornerstone of Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal, could be much more fair and even generous to elderly and disabled retirees, and also placed on a much sounder economic footing, by a few simple reforms that would not cost most people a penny, or require hard working folks to work one day longer before retiring.

There is a problem facing Social Security, which Krugman doesn't mention. The Novel economist is correct that the system has built up a huge multi-trillion-dollar surplus over the years. And he is correct in noting that this surplus--the Trust Fund--is big enough to fund the system probably indefinitely, even during the huge bulge in retirement that is starting now that the Baby Boomer generation is hitting retirement age. What he fails to mention is that the Trust Fund has all been stolen (okay, technically borrowed) by the federal government to fund its own annual deficits, and given the national attitude towards taxes, it will never be repaid. That's why the right is able to create a panic by falsely claiming that Social Security is going to go "bankrupt" when current workers' Social Security taxes can no longer pay for the benefits of current retirees.

But there is a simple solution to even this deception, which is to eliminate the cap on income which is subject to the Social Security tax.

At present, every worker in America pays the same percentage of income into the Social Security Trust Fund--currently 6.2% of the first $106,800 of earnings. Since everyone pays at that rate, whether they earn $10,680 a year or $106,800 a year, that would be a flat tax, except that it's not. Because once someone earns more than $106,800 in a year, the tax rate falls off precipitously. After that cap, which is adjusted upward a little bit each year to account for inflation, there is no SSI tax on additional money earned. In other words, if someone earns $106,800.00, she or he pays $6,621.60 into the Trust Fund, but if that worker earns $107,000, or $313,600 a year, the tax is still just $6,621.60. For the person earning twice the income cap of $313,600, that means an SSI tax rate of only 3.1%. For someone earning 10 times the cap, or $1.680 million, the tax rate is only 0.62%.

Making things even more unfair, if someone were to earn that $106,800, or any other amount, by investing in the stock market, or by investing in real estate, he or she would pay no SSI tax at all, since the tax is only applied to what is called "earned income," not to investment income.

According to a recent study conducted by the Congressional Budget Office for the Senate Special Committee on Aging, if this income cap for the Social Security tax was eliminated, so that all earned income was taxed, the dreaded wall when current workers' tax payments ceases to be enough to pay for current retiree benefits, instead of arriving in 2037, would be pushed back to at least 2075, a date almost as distant in the future as today is from the founding of the Social Security program.

Of course, if the tax were applied also and at the same rate to unearned income from investment, not only would there be no Social Security crisis ever, but instead of talking about making people work until they are 70, and about cutting benefits for retirees, we could be talking about lowering the retirement age to 62, and raising benefits, so that people could live decently in retirement instead of worrying that they might have to cut their food intake in order to pay the rent or buy required medications. People could also stop having to lose sleep at night working about the destruction of their IRA or 401(k) by the Wall Street banksters. Alternatively, the retirement age could be restored to the original 65, and the tax rate on all workers could be reduced.

Now people on the right will howl--they are howling now--that it's unfair to tax the rich on all their income when they will only be collecting a pittance in Social Security benefits for all the money they pay into the system if there is no taxable income cap, but in fact, that's exactly what has been done in the case of the 1.45% Medicare tax, which is also levied on every worker. That tax is applied to all income earned.

Krugman is also wrong in saying that it is ideologues who are trying to wreck Social Security. The ideologues at places like the Cato Institute and Heritage Foundation are providing the intellectual justification for destroying Social Security, but the real opposition to Social Security, though, is corporate America, as represented by groups like the Business Roundtable and the US Chamber of Commerce (it's corporate America that funds those foundations and their resident "scholars," after all). And the reason for this corporate opposition is that Social Security taxes and Medicare taxes paid by workers are both matched, dollar for dollar, by employers. If you pay 6.2% of your income in taxes to the Social Security Administration each year, so does your boss, and if the income cap is lifted for workers it will also be lifted for employers. That means a bigger tax bill for the company, and of course personally for the managers and board members.

So let's at least be honest in this coming battle over "saving" Social Security. It is nothing less than a war between bosses and workers.

The system is not in trouble because it's too generous or because it is underfunded. It has been pilfered over the years by politicians who have been unwilling to raise taxes to fund America's wars, or to fund the programs that we Americans say we want, like better roads, grants for local schools, etc. Instead of telling us what things cost, they borrow (steal) money from the Social Security Trust Fund, and then tell us Social Security is in trouble.

And now, as a day of reckoning approaches, they pretend it's all our fault. They say we want too much in benefits, or that we want to retire too early. But the truth is, we deserve decent retirement income, and we deserve to retire at 65 or even 62. In fact, if we hang onto our jobs until 70 or 72, as these hacks and the lobbyists for corporate American want us to do, it'll just be that harder for our kids to get jobs and move out of the house!

This is not about a private pension fund that's going bust. It's about a public pension program that has been raided, that has never been adequate, and that needs to be bolstered now by a tax on the rich. Nothing elaborate mind you. They just need to pay at the same rate that the rest of us do.

If you liked this piece you can check out more and similar pieces by Lindorff and other writers at the recently renovated news collective ThisCan'tBeHappening.net.

Dave Lindorff is a Philadelphia-based journalist and columnist. He is author of Marketplace Medicine: The Rise of the For-Profit Hospital Chains (BantamBooks, 1992), and his latest book "The Case for Impeachment" (St. Martin's Press, 2006). All his work is available at www.thiscantbehappening.net

New Study Identifies Revenues for Doubling of Social Security

New Study Identifies Revenues for Doubling of Social Security Payout

Guaranteeing the American Dream with Expanded Social Security

by Stephen Hill

For millions of Americans, the dream of a secure retirement has been threatened by the Great Recession. Since WWII, retirement has been conceived as a "three-legged stool," with the three legs being Social Security, pensions, and personal savings centered around homeownership.

But today most private sector employers have quit providing pensions, and state and local government’s public pensions are drastically underfunded. In addition, a collapsed housing and stock market, combined with increased inequality even before the Great Recession, have drastically reduced Americans’ personal savings.

In short, the "retirement stool" no longer is stable and secure, and suddenly Social Security, which always has been viewed as a supplement to private savings, is the only leg left for hundreds of millions of Americans. Studies show that people in the bottom two income quartiles depend on Social Security for 84 percent of their retirement income, and even the second richest quartile depends on Social Security for 55 percent of its retirement income.  Only the richest 25% of Americans don't rely on Social Security.

Despite Social Security's new role as a de facto national retirement plan, many budget deficit hawks are calling for cuts to it to decrease America's indebtedness.  But that would only make things worse for retiring Americans.  The real problem with Social Security is that it is not robust enough to play this role as retirement security of last resort, though not for the reasons most critics say. Contrary to gloomy predictions about its future collapse, the program is on solid footing, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting that Social Security can pay all scheduled benefits out of its own tax revenue stream for the next 40 years.

The bigger problem is that its payout is so meager. Currently it replaces only about 33 to 40 percent of a worker’s average wage from the year prior to retirement.  That is simply not enough money to live on when it is your primary -- perhaps your only -- source of retirement income.

Instead of cutting back Social Security, what we need to do is expand it by doubling the individual payout. That would cost about $650 billion annually for the 51 million Americans who receive benefits. This expanded version -- call it Social Security Plus -- could be paid for with revenues identified in a new study (pdf) published by the New America Foundation. Here’s how.

First, lift Social Security's payroll cap that disproportionately favors the wealthy.  Currently Social Security only taxes wages up to $106,800 a year, and any income earned above that is not taxed. The net result is that poor, middle class, and even moderately upper middle class Americans are taxed 12.4 percent (split between employee and employer) on 100 percent of their income, but the wealthiest Americans pay a much lower percentage. A lawyer making $500,000 a year effectively pays only 2.5 percent, and millionaire bankers pay a paltry 1.2 percent.

Removing the income cap and making all income levels pay the same percentage -- which is how Medicare works -- would be a popular reform. Polls show most Americans think that if they pay Social Security tax on their full salary, others should too. Taxing all income brackets equally would raise about $377 billion, which is nearly sixty percent of the revenue needed to double the payout.

Second, with all Americans receiving Social Security Plus, employers would be freed from providing retirement for their employees. So they no longer would need to receive the substantial federal deductions they currently accrue for providing employees’ retirement plans.  These deductions total an estimated $126 billion annually.

Third, we could reduce or eliminate other unfair deductions in the tax code that allow higher income people to reap generous deductions that low and moderate income Americans can’t enjoy. These include deductions for private retirement savings, homeownership, health care and education. For example, individuals who have enough income to divert for savings or investment are allowed considerable tax deductions for their 401(k)s, IRAs and pensions. Similarly the homeownership deduction for mortgage interest only benefits people with sufficient income to buy a home. But the poor and working class rarely can take advantage of these since they don’t make enough to itemize deductions. Consequently, the majority of these benefits go to the top 20 percent of income earners; in 2010 the mortgage interest deduction alone will amount to about $108 billion.

These three revenue streams -- lifting the payroll cap, eliminating the employer tax deduction for providing retirement, and capping or eliminating various wealth deductions -- would raise 100 percent of the revenue needed for doubling the payout of Social Security Plus.  It could be implemented in stages, targeting first those who are most in need.

An expansion of Social Security -- one of the most successful, stable and popular programs in U.S. history currently celebrating its 75th year -- not only would be good for retirees but also for the macro-economy. It would keep money in retirees’ pockets and stimulate consumer demand; act as an “automatic stabilizer” during economic downturns; and make retiree benefits portable when changing from one job to another. It also would help American businesses trying to compete with foreign companies that don’t provide pensions to their employees, since those countries already have generous national retirement plans. And it would be broadly fair, since even those higher income Americans who are losing their tax deductions would see part of it returned to them in the form of a greater Social Security payout.

In short, Social Security Plus would provide a stable, secure retirement for every American and contribute greatly toward a solid foundation from which to build a strong and vibrant 21st century economy.  

 

The Latest Bi-Partisan Attack on Social Security: Cat Food Comm.

by James Ridgeway

President Obama’s Deficit Commission is all smoke and mirrors. Its members are making a big show of laboring over ”painful” choices and considering all options in their quest to bring down the deficit. But inside the Beltway everyone knows what’s going to happen: The commission will reduce the deficit on the backs of the old and the poor, through cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Some opponents have taken to calling it the Cat Food Commission, since that’s what its victims will be forced to eat once the commission gets done slashing away at their modest entitlements.

In fact, the true intent of the Deficit Commission was evident before it was even formed. That intent was only driven home when Obama appointed as its co-chair Alan Simpson, a former Republican senator from Wyoming who is well known for voicing, in the most colorful terms, what Paul Krugman calls the "zombie lie" that old-age entitlements will soon bankrupt the country.

So why the big show? Because neither Obama nor the Congress wants to get caught cutting Social Security and Medicare in public, certainly not before the November elections. (Medicaid will be cut as well, but politicians tend not to worry so much about poor people, since they don’t go to the polls in the numbers we middle-class geezers do.) So instead, they are foisting off this unpleasant task onto the Deficit Commission, showing what the lawyers call “due diligence,” sucking their thumbs and pretending to study how to cut the deficit. They’ve got $1 billion in walk-around money to pay for propaganda so the PR industry ought to be plenty happy. So too should billionaire Pete Peterson, as he and his foundation lackeys push forward towards a victory in their longstanding attack on so-called “entitlements.”

Quite frankly, if the Republican Right could get itself together and shove the Tea Party nuts back into their cave–as Reagan did with the crackpots hanging around him–they too could reap the benefits of the Cat Food Commission’s work. Ever since the New Deal, the Right has been kicking and screaming about Social Security. Things just got worse in the 1960s with Medicare and Medicaid. And now, thanks to our supposedly “socialist” president, they are within a few inches of cutting a nice hefty hunk out of the largest social programs this nation.

But just when it looks like the right wingers have collected themselves, the nutcases throw spanners into the works. This time it’s not the Tea Party, but economists from the Federal Reserve and intellectuals from NYU and Harvard. Four of these people have united to publish an 8-page paper via Boston College’s Center for Retirement Research last month entitled ``What is the Age of Reason?’’

This paper is about what to do when old people start losing their marbles, plunging into dementia, euphemistically called ``Cognitive Decline among Older Adults,’’ and simply aren’t up to such basic tasks as investing their own money. To save these poor fools from themselves, the intellectuals propose ``possible policy choices,’’ including such anemic remedies as full disclosure in such things as mutual fund and 401(k) fees.The authors doubt disclosure will have much import. Then there is the intriguing prospect of ``Financial `Driving Licenses,” which would require ``that individuals pass a `license’ test before being allowed to make nontrivial financial decisions,such as opting out of `safe harbor’ investment products.’’ Another scheme envisions ``mandatory advance directives. It is described as follows:``One direct way to address the impact of cognitive decline on financial decision-making would be to require older adults to put in place a financial advance directive before reaching a certain age, so that the management of their assets could be transferred to a third party in the event of incapacity.’’

Get the picture? Cuts in entitlements, including Social Security and Medicare, will be accompanied by a push to get people to invest part of their Social Security income in Wall Street so as to make up what is being lost in the cuts. And since we are to believe that old people are going crackers, why then, wouldn’t it make more sense to let Wall Street take charge and invest the money directly? That would save a lot of hassle and bring about a windfall in earnings. Remember how we made so much money in our 401(k)s in the recent recession that we all went broke? Wouldn’t it be fun to do it all over again?

It’s going to take a lot to waylay the likely course of future events:  The Cat Food Commission will undoubtedly recommend, and a lame duck Congress will pass, legislation that looks fairly innocuous: trimming Social Security a bit, maybe by upping the age by a few years, and cutting a little from Medicare–none of it affecting anyone who is over 65 right now. That will enable the politicians now in office to look like they are protecting seniors and fending off any drastic cuts, while at the same time appearing “tough” on the deficit. But the legislation, in the usual Washington mode, will gradually widen as the years go by, so that by the time this bunch of pols are retired (on their fat pensions) and out of the fray, the new rules will be eating into entitlements in a big way.

The other side of this Faustian bargain would appear to be Congress passing some tax increases. ”In setting up his National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform,” William Greider recently wrote in The Nation, ”Barack Obama is again playing coy in public, but his intentions are widely understood among Washington insiders.” As Greider puts it, “The president intends to offer Social Security as a sacrificial lamb to entice conservative deficit hawks into a grand bipartisan compromise in which Democrats agree to cut Social Security benefits for future retirees while Republicans accede to significant tax increases to reduce government red ink.”

It remains to be seen how “significant” those tax increases actually turn out to be. But even former Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan seems to be on board with this general plan. Greenspan’s credentials include chairing the first major entitlement-cutting commission back in the 1980s, as well as promoting the Bush-era tax cuts that helped the deficit grow to its current proportions. He still says that reductions to Medicare benefits are necessary–but in a recent interview in the New York Times, Greenspan also says that he now wants to remove all the Bush tax cuts. Seeing as it comes from the champion of “let them eat cake” economics, this pronouncement must be seen as predictor of how conservatives could end up voting. In short, the old and the poor will have to eat cat food, but the rich might kick in a few crumbs as well.

James Ridgeway, an occasional columnist with ThisCantBeHappening.net, is senior Washington correspondent for Mother Jones Magazine. For 30 years he was Washington correspondent for the Village Voice. He has his own blog called Unsilent Generation

 

Alan Simpson: Social Security Is 'A Milk Cow With 310 Mil. Tits'

by Ryan Grim

Alan Simpson believes that Social Security is "like a milk cow with 310 million tits," according to an email he sent to the executive director of National Older Women's League Tuesday morning. Simpson co-chairs the deficit commission, which is considering various proposals to cut Social Security benefits.

[Alan Simpson, former Republican Senator from Wyoming and Co-Chair of Obama's deficit commission which is considering various proposals to cut Social Security benefits. ]Alan Simpson, former Republican Senator from Wyoming and Co-Chair of Obama's deficit commission which is considering various proposals to cut Social Security benefits.

Simpson's email, which OWL chief Ashley Carson released publicly, (PDF) was sent in response to an April blog post Carson wrote for the Huffington Post. Carson criticized Simpson for repeatedly describing his Social Security opponents as "Pink Panthers," arguing that the description had sexist connotations.

His email is peppered with exclamation points and condescension. At one point he urged Carson to read a certain graph, "which I hope you are able to discern if you are any good at reading graphs."

Simpson concludes by implying that leading a major organization dedicated to the interests of middle-aged and elderly women is not "honest work."

"If you have some better suggestions about how to stabilize Social Security instead of just babbling into the vapors, let me know," he writes. "And yes, I've made some plenty smart cracks about people on Social Security who milk it to the last degree. You know 'em too. It's the same with any system in America. We've reached a point now where it's like a milk cow with 310 million tits! Call when you get honest work!"

It's unclear from Simpson's email if he means Social Security is the milk cow or if he's referring to America in general. A Simpson assistant responded to a HuffPost email saying that Simpson was traveling and unable to comment immediately.

Simpson's tirade continues a pattern of erratic behavior that threatens to undermine the commission's work. In June, he unleashed a stream of error-riddled invective on a Social Security advocate wielding a camera outside a closed-door commission meeting, leading Paul Krugman to conclude (happily) that Simpson was killing the commission.

OWL is now calling on the former Republican Senator from Wyoming to resign.

Watch Simpson berate a Social Security advocate:

 

That's All We Need to Know About the Social Security Commission

And it sure looks like Simpson is the bull, looking to "service" us working people.

Once again, an Obama appointment is a betrayal to most of those who voted for him. Can he actually do anything more to discourage his base from turning out for the mid-term elections? Just when you think you've seen it all, I guess he thinks all American voters are as dumb as those shills he's used to from Illinois?

 

If Simpson Doesn't Resign, the President Must Fire Him

by Richard Eskow

Alan Simpson is the co-chair of President Obama's Deficit Commission, which is charged with creating a bipartisan consensus for balancing the budget. Lately Simpson's foulmouthed tirades have drawn at least as much attention as the Commission's actual work. His latest rant -- which includes denigrating an activist for women's issues with remarks about "a milk cow with 310 million tits" -- crosses the line once and for all. It demonstrates conclusively that he possesses neither the judgment, the ability, nor the emotional stability to carry out his mission. He's become an embarrassment to the President and an impediment to his Commission's objectives. He must resign immediately. If he's unwilling to do so, the President must fire him.

Simpson's notoriously thin-skinned, and he's in the habit of pelting his critics with abusive monologues or emails. That argumentative streak, which has only gotten worse in recent months, leaves him spectacularly ill-suited to the mission the President laid out for him when he announced the formation of his Commission. The President said "I'm confident that the Commission I'm establishing today will build a bipartisan consensus to put America on the path toward fiscal reform and responsibility."

Instead of building consensus, Simpson's been showering skeptics with abuse, rather than persuasion. His run-in with activist Alex Lawson became an Internet sensation, both for Simpson's unbalanced demeanor and for the sheer irrationality of his attempted counter-arguments. A Simpson email to Dean Baker read in part: "if this is the way that you do your reporting, I would think that you would have damn few fans or readers!" (He seems unaware that Baker's a highly respected economist.) Simpson adds: "I loved the picture accompanying your piece. With chin in hand, I first thought of Rodin's The Thinker -- but after reading the piece I can see you haven't done very much of that!"

There's a temptation among Washington insiders to shrug or laugh and say, "That's just Alan being Alan." But this is no laughing matter: He's gone from being refreshingly candid to being abusive, rude, and emotionally unstable. As for the Ashley B. Carson email, it's not just that he deprecatingly refers to activists for women's issues as "Pink Panthers," or even that he used the word "tit" in writing to a woman. Simpson could claim that he's known for barnyard metaphors, although its beginning to look like there's a certain disdain for women at play too. But the problem isn't just emotional balance, courtesy, or even respect for women: It's objectivity.

Here's that three-letter word in context, from his email to Ms. Carson: "... (Y)es, I've made some plenty smart cracks about people on Social Security who milk it to the last degree. You know 'em too. It's the same with any system in America. We've reached a point now where it's like a milk cow with 310 million tits!"

This comment makes something else clear about Simpson: He really hates people who collect Social Security. He already made that feeling pretty clear when he referred to retired Social Security recipients as "greedy geezers." He's not just referring to wealthy Americans who collect Social Security benefits here -- 310 million is the entire population of the United States. He's saying every American who contributes to the Social Security system and is therefore entitled to its retirement benefits is suckling at the teat of the system -- even though they and their employers funded that system!

This is a person who's made up his mind: People who collect Social Security are "milking the system." (How, exactly? People don't calculate their own benefits, after all.) But to Simpson, they're parasites. And anyone who has a different perspective on Social Security is to be attacked, not engaged in dialog.

Here's what the President said when he appointed Simpson and his co-chair: "I know they'll take up their work with the sense of integrity and strength of commitment that America's people deserve and America's future demands." Simpson's Commission is charged with undertaking its task in an unbiased manner, then reporting its conclusions to the American people in a way that will instill confidence in their fairness and objectivity. Alan Simpson has proven that he's unable to carry out that task.

I've expressed my own opinions before... I disagree with Simpson's position, and those of some others on his Commission. But I'll make a confession: I've always had a secret fondness for Simpson himself, because he always seemed unpretentious and direct. Either my judgment was wrong, or he he's gone off the deep end in recent months -- perhaps as a result of intense criticism. He's gone from blunt talk and candor to irrationality, rage, and unrestrained hostility toward the people whose financial interests he's charged with protecting.

Simpson's note to Ms. Carson ends with these words: "Call when you get honest work!" Apparently advocating for older women isn't "honest work" -- unlike, for example, serving on the Board of Directors for an insurance and annuity fund or a biotech company. (Simpson's done both.) We can add public interest work to the list of things Simpson reflexively dislikes. As for Ms. Carson's particular area of advocacy, it should be noted that women receive significantly less in Social Security payments after retirement than men do. Given that it provides a marginal income at best, Mr. Simpson should be more interested in her work than he appears to be.

The only fair conclusions that can be be drawn from Simpson's latest outburst are these:

  • He has a strong dislike for retired Social Security recipients.
  • He is temperamentally incapable of coping with disagreement or criticism.
  • He lacks both the judgment and the emotional stability to make unbiased decisions, or to communicate those decisions effectively on behalf of his Commission and the President who appointed him.

Simpson must resign immediately. If he does not, the President must fire him.

(Sign the petition to remove Alan Simpson)

Also: This blog post on the same topic has a better title than mine.

Richard (RJ) Eskow, a consultant and writer (and former insurance/finance executive), is a Senior Fellow with the Campaign for America's Future. This post was produced as part of the Strengthen Social Security campaign. Richard also blogs at A Night Light.

He can be reached at "rjeskow@ourfuture.org."

Former Senator Simpson Unfit for Deficit Panel

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
August 25, 2010
2:37 PM

CONTACT: Senator Bernie Sanders

Former Senator Simpson Unfit for Deficit Panel

WASHINGTON - August 25 - Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.) today urged President Barack Obama to dismiss a co-chairman of a White House advisory commission on budget deficits who compared Social Security to "a milk cow with 310 million tits."

Citing the "insulting" remarks by former Sen. Alan K. Simpson, Sanders and DeFazio asked the president to remove Simpson from the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, which is charged with making recommendations on federal budget deficits that could affect Social Security.

"While there are honest differences of opinion as to how best to tackle this growing problem, we should all be in agreement that everyone working in this area - especially someone in as important a position as the co-chair of your National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform - has a responsibility to be as serious, deliberate, and sober as the challenges we face," they wrote in a letter to the president.

Simpson's remark was included in an e-mail to the director of Older Women's League. "I've made some plenty smart cracks about people on Social Security who milk it to the last degree," the former Wyoming senator wrote to Ashley Carson. "You know 'em too. It's the same with any system in America. We've reached a point now where it's like a milk cow with 310 million tits!"

Sanders and DeFazio called the comments "beyond comprehension" and "demeaning" to the senior citizens, the disabled, widows and orphans who depend on Social Security.

"Despite the many years of distinguished public service former Senator Simpson has dedicated to this country, his recent e-mail indicates that it is no longer appropriate for him to serve on the bi-partisan deficit reduction commission," Sanders and DeFazio wrote. "Therefore, in order for your commission's recommendations to have credibility with Congress, we respectfully urge you to remove Senator Simpson from the commission."

Referring to the $13 trillion national debt, Sanders and DeFazio told the president that they look forward to working with him on ways to address "serious long-term fiscal challenges that require thoughtful and difficult solutions." As leading defenders of Social Security in Congress, they underscored that Social Security is strong and stable.

"Let's be clear: Social Security is not going bankrupt, nor has it contributed one dime to the federal deficit. For 75 years, through good times and bad, Social Security has paid out every benefit owed to every eligible Americans and will continue to pay 100 percent of those benefits through 2037, according to the Social Security Board of Trustees, and until 2039, according to the Congressional Budget Office. In fact, the Social Security Trust Fund today has a $2.5 trillion dollar surplus which is projected to grow to more than $4 trillion by the year 2023."

Sanders and DeFazio also noted that Social Security provides the majority of income for two-thirds of the nation's elderly and, for one-third, it provides nearly all their income.

In an Aug. 6 letter to the deficit commission, Sanders and DeFazio urged the panel to reject proposals to raise the Social Security retirement age to 70.

###

Seven Key Facts About Social Security and the Federal Budget

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
September 1, 2010
2:25 PM

CONTACT: CEPR
Alan Barber, (202) 293-5380 x115

Seven Key Facts About Social Security and the Federal Budget

WASHINGTON - September 1 - Heading into the midterm elections, Social Security has proven to be one of the hot button issues of this cycle. Despite the fact that the program has just begun its 75th year contributing to the retirement security of millions, the relationship between Social Security and the federal budget is unclear to many Americans. A new issue brief from the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) addresses seven issues about this relationship and in the process demonstrates that Social Security can continue to be a cornerstone of retirement without posing an undue burden to the budget well into the future.

"Seven Key Facts About Social Security and the Federal Budget," functions as a primer on some of the most important topics in the Social Security debate, topics that are essential for any policymakers, reporters or anyone else concerned about the future of Social Security.

The issue brief asks and answers:

  •  What will real annual wages be in 2040 versus today?
  • How does the 2010 Social Security Trustees Report compare to the 2009 report and what does this mean for workers?
  • What percentage of real wages would have to be used to pay for the projected shortfall in Social Security?
  • What percent of real wage gains over the last 30 years was absorbed by the increase in Social Security payroll taxes?
  • What percent of the projected long-term budget shortfall is due to the inefficiencies of the U.S. health care system?
  • How much wealth should we expect near retirees to have to support themselves in retirement?
  • What percent of older workers have jobs in which they can reasonably be expected to work at into their late 60s?

The questions and answers in the issue brief are basics for anyone interested in Social Security and the well - being of workers and retirees. For anyone actively engaged in this policy debate, knowledge of these issues is a pre-requisite.

###

The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) was established in 1999 to promote democratic debate on the most important economic and social issues that affect people's lives. In order for citizens to effectively exercise their voices in a democracy, they should be informed about the problems and choices that they face. CEPR is committed to presenting issues in an accurate and understandable manner, so that the public is better prepared to choose among the various policy options.


Dana Milbank Pays Homage to Alan Simpson's Sexism and Ignorance

by Dean Baker

The Washington Post insists that its columnists either produce top quality work or toe the company line. Dana Milbank falls into the latter group of columnists as he showed once again with his warm praise for former Wyoming Senator Alan Simpson sexism and ignorance.

Senator Simpson has been in the news lately for writing crank letters to his critics in his capacity as a co-chair of President Obama's deficit commission. In one of these letters he compared Social Security to a cow with 310 million tits. This letter was sent to Ashley Carson, then the executive director of the Older Women's League.

Apparently Mr. Milbank does not even understand why Simpson was widely denounced for sexism over this letter.

Mr. Simpson's lack of understanding of bovine anatomy is humorous, his contempt for Social Security, and those dependent on it, somewhat less so. But the sexism in the letter was his clear implication that the director of a major national woman's organization could not read a simple graph.

He also concluded the letter by telling Ms. Carson to contact him when she "finds honest work," implying that representing the interests of tens of millions of older women is not honest work. Is Mr. Simpson equally "blunt" with the lobbyists who represent the interests of Goldman Sachs and British Petroleum? Or, does he view their work as more honest?

If Senator Simpson brought great insights to the debate then perhaps we should overlook his rudeness and sexism, but there is zero evidence that he has advanced beyond the silly platitudes that pass for profundity in the pages of the Washington Post. In his letter he referred Ms. Carson to a presentation prepared by the chief actuary of Social Security for the deficit commission.

Simpson seemed to believe that this presentation would be a real eye-opener to Ms. Carson. In fact, the presentation contained no information that would not be well known to anyone involved in the Social Security debate. All of the information in the presentation is readily available in the Social Security trustees report and other public documents. If the presentation was news to Simpson, then it suggests that he is seriously ill-equipped for his current job.

This is not the first time that Simpson has indicated that he is totally clueless in debates over the deficit and Social Security. I was on a radio show with Senator Simpson back in the mid-90s when the hot fashion in policy circles was cutting the cost of living adjustment for Social Security.

The cost of living adjustment is tied to the rate of inflation, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI). At that time, story went that the CPI hugely overstated the true rate of inflation. Therefore, the Social Security cutters wanted to reduce the annual cost of living adjustment to at least 1 percentage point below the rate of inflation shown by the CPI. This meant that if the CPI showed 3 percent inflation then the cost of living adjustment would be just 2 percent.

This might seem like a small cut but it adds up over time. After 10 years the benefit cut would be about 10 percent, after 30 years it would be almost 30 percent. (Compounding reduces the effect slightly.)

Senator Simpson was a big proponent of these cuts, hurling his usual lines about greedy geezers and high-living seniors. When he was on the radio show with me he argued that the CPI's overstatement of inflation was well over 1 percentage point and could even be over 2 percentage points. He then said that our children would be living in chicken coops.

Okay, now let's imagine that Senator Simpson had learned arithmetic in third grade like the rest of us. We know how fast nominal wages/income is rising. Let's say this averages 3.0 percent a year. If the rate of inflation as shown by the CPI is 2.0 percent, then real wages/income are rising by 1.0 percent a year (3-2 = 1). This would be the rate that we are getting richer.

Now suppose the Social Security cutters of that era were right and the CPI overstates the true rate of inflation by 1 percentage point. Then real wages/income would be rising by 2.0 percent a year. Since the true rate of inflation would be just 1 percent a year, then a 3.0 percent rate of nominal wage and income growth would translate into a 2.0 percent rate of real wage/income growth (3-1 = 2).

Suppose that Senator Simpson's sources were right and that the CPI overstated inflation by 2.0 percentage points. Then the true rate of inflation in this story would be zero. In this case the 3 percent rate of wage/income growth would translate into a 3.0 percent rate of real wage/income growth.

This would lead to a conclusion 180 degrees at odds with Senator Simpson's assertion. Instead of describing a situation where our children and grandchildren would be living in chicken coops, the Senator was describing a situation in which they would all be rich. But, he was so clueless on logic and arithmetic that he did not even understand this simple point.

Yet, he can still count on getting praised by Dana Milbank and the Washington Post. See, if you give the company line - knowledge of arithmetic is optional, and you can still be a co-chair of President Obama's deficit commission.

Dean Baker is the co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR). He is the author of The Conservative Nanny State: How the Wealthy Use the Government to Stay Rich and Get Richer ( www.conservativenannystate.org) and the more recently published Plunder and Blunder: The Rise and Fall of The Bubble Economy. He also has a blog, "Beat the Press," where he discusses the media's coverage of economic issues. 

Labor Day News Flash

by Donna Smith

As I was pulling my Labor Day weekend brain cells back to consciousness with my first morning cup of coffee, I saw the scroll.  “Tony Orlando concert postponed in New Jersey amid fears of Hurricane Earl aftermath.”  I almost flew out of my chair.  I watched for a few more moments to make sure it was real.  It  was.  It scrolled at least five more times across the national news screen giving folks the news we apparently needed to have to begin the weekend.

What did not scroll?  What never scrolls?  “123 innocents in America died today because they didn’t get the healthcare they needed, and they were very sick.”  I have never seen that news reported.

When I was a kid, we used to see the Viet Nam war (it was a war to me, not a conflict) death toll every night at the top of the evening news.  Right there behind Chet and David.  And seeing that death count made me acutely aware that people were dying.  It alerted me to a number that I needed to care about.  Though I was young and should have been listening to my transistor radio or my 45s or hanging out with my friends, I watched that news report every night because the insistent dead bothered me. 

The insistent dead of our healthcare neglect bother me now.  I cannot stop seeing the number as if it were scrolling.  I see it and feel it.  People die because they couldn’t pay a co-pay soon enough or they didn’t have a job and the money to buy coverage or access to a government plan soon enough to access help.  123 people – at least – dead because they didn’t get the care they needed.  Care was available – we just refused to let them have it.  We knew they would die. We killed them.

So, I guess I do not understand why the Tony Orlando concert postponement rates the national scroll.

It’s Labor Day weekend.  Over these three days, at least 369 Americans will be dead because the barriers to their healthcare needs were too great to overcome.  They were killed by greed.  They were killed by indifference. 

Are we tired of the healthcare debate?  It wore us out?  Politics needed to shift gears?  An election is coming.  Taxes are too high for some and not high enough for others.  Peace in the Middle East is always on the cusp.  War in the Middle East is too.  Someone wants to cut Social Security.  Someone wants welfare moms to stop being so.  America needs reclaiming, say some.  The dream still lives, say others.

What dream?  What to reclaim?  This weekend, 369 dead neighbors and friends, moms and dads, sons and daughters, brothers, sisters.  Dead without healthcare in America.  Dead without care that was available to others.  Dead because we decided by our inaction and ignorance of blame that they should die.

Health insurance is not health care. Health insurance is a financial product marketed and sold to protect health and wealth which may do neither thing very well. I view it as a defective product. Yet, very soon we will be buying more of it and helping more of our fellow Americans buy more of it with the subsidies that support the great health insurance bailout that is being called "patient protection." What we need is an end to the protection of profits first - we need to provide a progressively financed, single standard of high quality care for all. We need to stop killing patients through our failed policy and protect them with our shared humanity.

But please don’t head to that Tony Orlando concert in Jersey.  That would be unpleasant to drive all that way only to find you couldn’t hear, “Tie a Yellow Ribbon ‘Round the Old Oak Tree,” one more time. Stay home.  And if you or someone you love feels sick and can access care, at least spend a moment remembering the 369, OK?

Donna Smith is a community organizer for National Nurses United (the new national arm of the California Nurses Association) and National Co-Chair for the Progressive Democrats of America Healthcare Not Warfare campaign.

Jobs Emergency

The best way to address budget deficits is to put people back to work so they can pay their share of taxes.

by Sarita Gupta

It's been two years since the Lehman Brothers collapse set off a global financial meltdown. The government bailed out big Wall Street banks and they're now making bumper earnings. Major corporations are sitting on $8 trillion in cash reserves, the biggest pile since 1963.

For working families, the crisis didn't start in 2008. They've been getting what New York Times reporter Steven Greenhouse calls "The Big Squeeze" for decades, as the income gap between the rich and the rest of us tripled. These families are continuing to bear the brunt of the economic crisis.

More than 15 million Americans are out of work, and there are nearly five job-seekers for every job opening. Long-term unemployment is at record levels. This "jobs deficit" is longer and deeper than any other post-war recession. If job growth for the next decade matches 2000-2010, the official unemployment rate will hit 13 percent by 2020. And that doesn't even factor in that workers are earning less, losing benefits, and working longer and harder.

Conservative activists and some members of Congress have been grandstanding about our massive budget deficit to block a recovery for the rest of us. Yet these same people want to maintain tax breaks for the rich and stop taxes on the Wall Street banks that created this mess in the first place--two steps that could help shrink the deficit. It's time for ordinary Americans to make our voices heard. It's time to declare a state of emergency on jobs.

Across the country, workers are already taking a stand. At a Mott's apple juice plant in New York, workers have gone on strike over wage cuts. Hugo Boss and Republic Windows workers in New York and Illinois have successfully prevented plant shutdowns.

Unemployed workers across the country are also organizing and demanding jobs with justice. Jobless doesn't mean voiceless or powerless.

Chicago's Unemployed Council has been collecting surveys at unemployment offices to get information on jobless needs and met with members of Congress to push for extended jobless benefits. In Eastern Maine, the laid-off committee gives tips on surviving unemployment and connects with local farmers to arrange food baskets. In Long Island, New York and Portland, Oregon, monthly potlucks help the jobless break out of their isolation and take an active role as citizens holding representatives accountable.

On September 15, coalitions of community, faith, labor, and student organizations are taking action in 30 cities, calling for "Full and Fair Employment," and demanding that officials explain what they will do to fill the jobs gap and put America back to work.

Polls clearly show that most Americans consider the jobs emergency a higher priority than the budget deficit--and after all, the best way to address budget deficits is to put people back to work so they can pay their share of taxes. Making Wall Street pay its fair share works well too.

There are several actions Congress could take as emergency first steps towards full and fair employment. For example, they could pass the Local Jobs for America Act, which would save or create 1 million good public sector jobs, providing needed services in communities that need it most.

A small tax on financial transactions would reduce the most harmful speculation games of Wall Street, and could potentially generate $200-500 billion per year for jobs programs.

Without jobs, there is no recovery. Without good jobs, there is no justice.

Sarita Gupta is executive director of Jobs with Justice, a national network of more than 40 local coalitions of labor, community, student, and faith organizations, working together to build a broader global movement for economic and social justice. www.jwj.org/jobs

Social Security: Surprise! The People Speak

The general public doesn't want to balance the federal budget by putting Social Security on the chopping block.

by Jim Hightower

Michael Duke is the Big Wally of Walmart. As CEO of the low-wage behemoth, he siphons some $19 million a year in personal pay from the global retailer.

How much is $19 million? Let's break it down in terms that Duke's own workforce can appreciate. While Big Wally's workers average about $9.50 an hour, Duke's pay comes to about $9,500 an hour. He pockets as much in two hours as Walmart workers make in a whole year!

But WalMart doesn't give a damn about such gross pay gaps between privileged elites and the rest of us. As a spokesman scoffed, "I don't think Mike Duke...needs me to defend his compensation package."

Really? If not you, who?

Those who think that the hoi polloi don't notice or care about America's growing income disparity, should take a peek at a recent opinion survey run by the right-wing, corporate-funded Peter G. Peterson Foundation. This outfit intended to show that the general public backs the tea party's agenda of slashing  government spending, which includes balancing the federal budget by putting Social Security and Medicare on the chopping block.

But--whoops-a daisy--the survey of thousands of Americans went badly wrong for the Peterson ideologues. Far from wanting to gut Social Security payments, 85 percent of those interviewed favored extending the program. They want the rich to pay a tax on their whole salary which goes into the fund, like all the rest of us.

And--hey, Mike--this one's for you: nearly six out of 10 of the folks involved in the foundation's "America Speaks" survey want a new, higher tax bracket to make millionaires pay their fair share of providing for the common good.

The foundation tried to bury these surprisingly progressive results, but didn't succeed. You can read a good analysis of them at the Center for Economic Policy and Research: www.cepr.net.

OtherWords.org

National radio commentator, writer, public speaker, and author of the book, Swim Against The Current: Even A Dead Fish Can Go With The Flow, Jim Hightower has spent three decades battling the Powers That Be on behalf of the Powers That Ought To Be - consumers, working families, environmentalists, small businesses, and just-plain-folks.

Post new comment